[zumatic]

This is what I came here to post, and you can see that, in the mobile chart, Chrome and Safari already seem to be levelling off. Maybe a better model would be like an ADSR (attack decay sustain release) envelope in sound synthesis where the logistic curve represents the attack / initial adoption phase, possibly followed by a mirror logistic curve representing mature saturation then eventual replacement by competitors. That said, some products do come back from the dead, like Mozilla itself; the Apple Mac is another example.

Saying "Chrome won" now feels like saying "IE won" in 2002 or so. Look at the chart here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_Explorer_5

[Mathnerd314]

I couldn't find a single chart from invention of the web browser to present, but these two cover most of it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Browser_Wars_(en).svg http://i.imgur.com/kVocSvo.png

What strikes me is the diversity. Chrome has mostly been stealing market share from IE; Safari is growing too and is by no means dead; FF has been declining, but not that much. There are 4-ish strong browsers in the market now when before there was only 1 (IE) and a half (Mozilla). Certainly a different picture from the chart in the article.

[BigJono]

2004 was a dark time...