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by tuna-piano 3317 days ago
In a world where investors invest in photo sharing apps and social media websites because of the potential billion dollar payouts - why would you limit the potential drug payouts without limiting the social media app payouts?

Over time, would limiting the potential profits in life-saving drugs increase or decrease the number of life-saving drugs developed?

In an economy where people can choose to work in any field, and investors can choose to invest their money in any field - what better way is there to allocate the people and money resources than by letting people voice how valuable something is with their wallets? Do you want to force someone to buy a third car instead of buying a new drug treatment?

If you understand the invisible hand theory (actually understand it, not just the everyman's definition) I think it's difficult to (a) argue against in general and (b) argue against for certain life-saving industries especially.

3 comments

Actually, horror of horrors, if I could I'd take a giant antitrust bat to about half the technology sector (which would hurt profits).

I urge urge urge you to reevaluate your understanding of economics as well. I recently made a book recommendation on here, I'd like to make it again.

23 Things They Don't Tell You About Capitalism by Ha-Joon Chang

Economism by James Kwak

And no it's not at all hard to argue against the invisible hand theory although I'd really like to not do that here. But just consider how far physics has advanced since the 18th century, why don't you think economics has done the same? Just think about what you're actually proposing for a second. There are no scenarios where the invisible hand works against laypeople? I think that's incredibly naive.

I've recommended to plenty of people that they read "Principles of Macroeconomics" by Greg Mankiw, but weirdly enough no one has. Maybe I just didn't urge urge urge them enough?

Actually, if you believe economics hasn't changed since the 18th century you really should read it. Who knows, maybe you'll even reevaluate your understanding of economics.

Principles is the exact wrong thing for someone casually interested in economics to read. It's the proliferation of the belief that Econ 101 is "real econ" when it's anything but. You can get an undergrad degree in Econ and still have no real understanding of how the economy works. Sure you'll have a simple model but that model will fail over and over again because it's far too simplified. That's why I recommend Economism. It's inoculation to Econ 101.
I don't really care if people understand "real econ" (whatever that means) but most people haven't even progressed past a folk understanding of economics. Having at least a cursory understanding of why, e.g., price controls lead to scarcity is really a requirement to create an informed criticism of any part of Econ 101. To get to that point, reading through an intro level textbook is exactly what is needed.
I just don't buy that. Despite being less popular in academia there is absolutely an abundance of politically motivated libertarian/austrian/chicago school blogs, videos and books out there. Many intelligent young people fall down this rabbit hole early and never try to get out. Econ 101 books are only going to solidify their belief that they know economics. Something that challenges the simplified view of economics, that asks when the assumptions of some of these models ever actually apply, about what happens when you start dropping assumptions, about frictions and so on is what's needed. I looked around a bit to find the best article I could from my perspective, maybe you could read it and tell me what you think?

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2015-11-24/most-of-w...

Any libertarian who takes Econ 101 will find their beliefs challenged tremendously, and not just by the "simple models" you're talking about. To be perfectly blunt, it sounds like you're trying to criticize something that you have an preconceived notion of, but no direct experience with, which is exactly why I was recommending you read Mankiw in the first place. I think you'll be surprised with the amount of time he spends on things like case studies of market failures or why the federal reserve system is a good idea.

As to your link, Noah (whom I respect tremendously) does make a good point, but I think he overstates his case; true, simple supply-demand models don't work in every case (and the minimum wage is a good example of that, although I would counter that most of the non econ101 parts are somewhat short term and restricted to small increases) but for the vast, vast majority of cases people encounter in real life they work surprisingly well. Additionally, supply and demand is only a part of econ 101: Why can't I get tickets to Hamilton without paying a lot? Why do some restaurants charge more for dinner? If we put a tariff on Mexico, who pays? What are the pros and cons of free trade? What does deadweight loss mean? What does the federal reserve do and how does it affect me? What's the relationship between the money supply and inflation? What are the arguments for targeting non zero inflation? Why did we leave the gold standard? Is government debt bad? How is GDP measured? Why does the exchange rate change? Why doesn't the employment rate go to zero? What does the employment rate even mean? How do taxes affect the economy? Do different taxes have different effects? What are the arguments for and against using tax policy to encourage saving? What options does the government have to fight a recession? My city wants to reduce driving downtown, what are some possible policies? What economic policies can we use to fight global warming? What are the arguments for and against rent control? What is a monopoly? All of these questions are easily answered with macroecon 101 level knowledge and most are hard to answer without (we haven't even started talking about micro!) That doesn't mean econ 101 is always applicable, but it does mean you'll have a far better understanding of the world after taking it, even if you do come in with some preconceived notions.

I will say that Noah's suggestion that econ 101 should be more emperical is a good idea, and I especially believe that there should be a stronger emphasis on stats. I actually think that's true of all the social sciences though, and its a separate issue from what you're talking about.

>but most people haven't even progressed past a folk understanding of economics

There are a few subjects where the average HN denizen thinks they know more than the professionals by having read a mainstream book or two. Economics is one. You can identify these people when they ask, 'How come economists couldn't predict the crisis?'

Of course absence of price control mechanisms can also lead to scarcity through bubble mechanisms - which can be tamed through taxes.

Ask anyone trying to buy a house in Vancouver.

Does Mankiw mention this in his "requirement for informed criticism"?

>Does Mankiw mention this in his "requirement for informed criticism"?

Are you honestly asking whether Mankiw discusses supply/demand price effects in his textbook?

Prices are high because demand is high and supply is low. Yes, that gets covered.
Please enlighten us as to how your non-mainstream model is superior. The burden of proof is on you.

Also, your claim that economics hasn't advanced since the 18th century is absurd and betrays an ignorance of the subject.

>Also, your claim that economics hasn't advanced since the 18th century is absurd and betrays an ignorance of the subject.

Perhaps it was worded poorly but if you reread you can actually see that's the opposite of what I said.

ECON101 isn't 'mainstream economics'. It's incredibly simplified economics.
Mankiw is a bit of a right wing nutjob, though orthodox in the Chicago school. I wouldn't recommend his books, despite their prevalence in academia.
>if I could I'd take a giant antitrust bat to about half the technology sector (which would hurt profits).

That'd be nice on an island. Otherwise, have fun competing against technology behemoths from other nations, some receiving subsidization from the government.

You know you are correct. When a photo sharing app sells for billions everyone interviews the founders and praises them. When you save 10 lives and charge billions you are a criminal. I am not sure which one is right or wrong, but it certainly isn't fair to the drug makers.
You summarize my feelings exactly, in a very clear way that demonstrates the absurdity of the situation.
In a vacuum it appears absurd, but to understand why people feel this way, you have to look at the big picture of health care costs spiraling out of control and people literally having to choose between food or meds. Middle class people without health insurance and good retirement savings can end up in poverty because of an unexpected illness. Any attempt at health insurance reform gets twisted and maimed into baseless political showboating—I know several people who voted for Trump because they actually believe he can lower their health insurance bills, the fools.

When people think of a photo sharing app they are thinking of breezy fun social media times. When people think of rare disease treatments the sentiment is much darker a priori. I'm not saying drug companies are to blame for the current situation (hate the game not the player), but emotionally it's obvious why there is judgement about profiting from that situation.

The problem with the typical person's view of this issue is that it confuses two very different things: price and affordability. Drugs should be priced at a level such that pricing them higher doesn't create enough additional benefit from new drugs to outweigh the extra cost, and pricing them lower causes loss in the benefit from new drugs to outweigh the savings from lower price. That should be decided at a society-wide level.

Affordability is then about transferring money from rich people to poor people so they can buy the appropriately-priced drug.

Well - technically affordability would be more about not transferring money from poor people to rich people without an exceptionally good reason.

A common problem with these arguments is the assumption that they take something from the rich. The reality is the cycle started earlier, and redistribution is a necessary correction to that, not an outrageous and immoral imposition on a presumed natural order.

There is no economic system in which the skilled educated labor necessary to create these drugs can be compensated by what money you can get from a relatively small number of poor people with s rare disease. You cut $300,000 per year for treatment to $30,000 per year, and this company is operating at huge losses. And it's still not affordable to even normal people.
When a photo sharing app sells for billions everyone interviews the founders and praises them.

In most of these cases, they've sold something for billions to a single entity that has the money and doesn't strictly need it (for example, if Youtube had not sold to Google it would have been an existential crisis for Youtube, not for Google).

When you save 10 lives and charge billions you are a criminal.

In these ten sales, you've made billions by charging each of the individuals 1/10th of the billions, individuals who don't have the money and do strictly need it.

There's a difference between "sells for billions" and "charges billions": in the former in the case of photo sharing apps, it's a buyer's market, and in the later it's a seller's market.

The founders, the sellers, might get praised in the event of a billion dollar photo sharing app sale, but few have sympathy for the purchasing party in that transaction, no matter what they paid, because it's a buyer's market.

I'm not sure fair, to the drug makers or otherwise, enters into it. These are not really that comparable, and only appear to be due to the scale of the sales both being "billions".

I think where we probably agree is that the patent system (which is of course what grants the monopoly pricing power) needs reformation.

I think where we disagree is that I don't think I (or anyone else) knows how much resources society should spend on drug treatments. I strongly believe that the best way to determine how much money society should spend on drug treatments is just to let all the individuals decide how much they should spend on drug treatments (or insurance which covers drug treatments). (This is not saying, however, that you can't have transfer programs which transfer wealth from rich->poor)

In the end, the failures of central planned economies are the same as the failures of central planned sectors, including healthcare.

If your choices are to take a drug or die obviously you will do whatever you can to pay, but that hardly means the price is reasonable.
I think here's the issue, an individual can only decide to spend on a life saving drug treatment if it exists.