[SomeStupidPoint]

I think this question is more interesting if you talk about underemployment or people who are worse off than their parents at a given age.

Both of those numbers are already creeping up, economically coerced crap jobs aside.

[aetherson]

I feel like that's a huge walk-back from a position of "huge sections of jobs will just evaporate." I mean, I realize that you're not the person who said "huge sections of jobs will just evaporate," but I'd like someone who does believe that, not something much milder, to put some numbers to it.

[SomeStupidPoint]

I believe huge numbers of certain kinds of jobs will evaporate, particularly whitecollar jobs -- just that the powers that be will implement modern sharecropping to nominally keep "jobs", even while the standard of living massively erodes and the middle class vanishes.

I believe we're already seeing that, with the job markets losing professional jobs but gaining service industry jobs.

I think it's a distraction to talk about employment numbers without talking about the quality of the jobs in question -- sharecroppers and CEOs both have a job, but their lives are radically different.

[aetherson]

We're probably aged out of this discussion, but in case you're still reading: okay, fine. Provide some kind of quantitative prediction of what you're talking about. If unemployment numbers are the wrong measure, use Gini coefficient or something.