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by lurker10000 3336 days ago
Many people (including me) believe the problem isn't overblown. A common counterargument to your point is that humans have always had the ability to do work at higher abstraction levels than the machines replacing them. Scribes become unemployed but can retrain as typographers, press operators, digital layout artists and so on.

The problem comes when robots begin to perform these higher order tasks. What happens to individuals when they have no "higher" place to move into? What happens to society when automated replacement becomes commonplace?

2 comments

Jobs are not zero sum - the demand for labor is a function of supply. People will begin to fill more niche and variable-demand jobs where capital investments don't make sense, i.e. a shift towards a consultant economy.

Keep in mind that the specifics of this is very hard to predict. A large number of the jobs we have today would have seemed absurd 20-40 years ago, but to us they feel like they were inevitable.

What popular jobs.that we have today would seem absurd 20-40 ago ,for someone.with an eye into.the future , say a science fiction writer?
There are people who make money with ASMR videos, people making money eating old military rations, etc and posting it on YouTube. I am not saying these are viable career options, but are examples of 'jobs' that seem absurd but exist because of recent technology

Web design, coding, app design, site reliability engineers , debugging, user interface testing, so many new jobs

While I am pretty certain there were analogues of it 40 years ago (1977), the idea of a "lifestyle coach" and similar professions would seem a bit out there back then.
SEO specialist, Mobile App Developer, Etsy artist, Drop shipper, additive manufacturing engineer, HFT quant, Lyft driver, etc.
Except there are going to be far, far fewer of those positions than there are people displaced by automation.
> the demand for labor is a function of supply
> The problem comes when robots begin to perform these higher order tasks. What happens to individuals when they have no "higher" place to move into?

That hasn't happened though. We have no indication that such a question is more relevant now than it was 200 years ago. And it's worth pointing out that we're currently in a period of fairly low productivity growth.