[ZeroGravitas]

Both of these, and the strange discrepancy between them, can in some part be explained by the archaic first-past-the-post election system.

Apparently many of their loses to the conservative party were caused by a last minute rush of voters to labour. In a three-way contest that had the perverse effect of sending things in the opposite political direction.

[mattmanser]

As far as I can tell it's their lowest vote share for decades and all the last few elections have been close.

What you're saying just doesn't ring true. People genuinely felt betrayed by the uni fees.