[retsibsi]

I think he had a reasonable point, though.

If you predict that X will happen, and it eventually does, then sure, you were right about that. But if you take an action that will cause you to profit if X happens within 5 years and to lose money otherwise, you're effectively predicting that X will happen within 5 years. If X happens after 10 years, then to say that you were right, just too early, is misleading: in fact you were right that X would happen, but wrong about when it would happen, and you chose to bet on both of those things.

Maybe this is a bit pedantic, but surely it's at least correct.