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by vinceguidry 3354 days ago
You're assuming all the bombs will be dropped on population centers. They won't. Most weapons will be used on military targets. Removing your enemy's ability to wage war will always take priority over non-military targets.
2 comments

> You're assuming all the bombs will be dropped on population centers.

He isn't. He is assuming 5% of bombs will be dropped on population centers.

> Removing your enemy's ability to wage war will always take priority over non-military targets.

You are applying conventional military tactics in a nuclear war. They don't apply. See MAD[1], the cornerstone of nuclear deterrence.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_assured_destruction

MAD isn't current US policy and hasn't been for some time. US doctrine allows for flexible responses and the possibility of a nuclear exchange staying within the bounds of a regional conflict, rather than automatically escalating immediately to all-out nuclear spasm.

And I don't think it was ever the official policy of the USSR; their planners believed that even all-out nuclear war was both survivable and winnable. (Which made the whole concept distinctly iffy as the foundation of deterrence.)

To piggyback on this:

MAD is a convenient fiction that politicians and the military use for political purposes. It has zero bearing on any actual military strategy because it is not a real scenario. There aren't enough strategic weapons in the world to bring about such an outcome.

To learn more about how the military community thinks of nuclear warfare, follow this guy on Quora:

https://www.quora.com/profile/Thierry-Etienne-Joseph-Rotty

My whole small town is ~1 mile from a military target.

(For example, every single ocean port is a military target, war time industrial capacity is a military target, etc)