| The claim you mention about getting to know the person better in random interviews as well as "People can’t help seeing signals, even in noise." is misleading and unsurprising. People ask questions in interviews that they want to know the answer to and that could go either way. All questions have equivalent expected surprise, either both answers are unsurprising, or one answer is surprising, but you think you already know the answer is the other one. If interviewers were asking questions like "is 2+2=4" they would have detected random interviewers way easier, but they wouldn't be trying very hard to get to know the person. As for getting to know the person, the more surprising someone's answers are, if you believe they are telling the truth, the more distinguishes them from "average person who gave answers I expected", so you say you "got to know" them. This is unsurprising. This isn't to defend unstructured interviews, other studies for a long time have shown them to be worse than structured interviews and test scores. If I had to guess the only reason the research in the article got published as novel was the random interview part. Edit: Here's a table from a meta-analysis of lots of studies on correlation between different factors and job performance: http://imgur.com/a/YRFTh. Basically unstructured interviews aren't as good as structured ones, but they are better than nothing. Work samples are the best, structured interviews and IQ tests tie for second. Note that this meta-analysis is combining a bunch of different fields to yield general observations, a specific field may have different results. But in expectation for a randomly selected field these are fairly solid results, and I don't expect fields vary from them too much. |