Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by jlebrech 3363 days ago
LFTR is operational yesterday, you think Fusion is operational tomorrow?
1 comments

No it's not.

There was some small scale experiments, to have a fully working industrial prototype, the amount of problem to solve is just colossal. I think 40+ years is a much more reasonable guess. The thing is we don't even have a realistic timeline for those, because even that requires more research. We need way more data to say something about LFTR.

Fusion on the other hand has an estimate timeline. If everything goes well with ITER, DEMO should be operational around 2040-2050+. And actual power plants will use DEMO design. That's what we know today. With more research, we could find better design and faster ways to get fusion (Wendelstein 7-X) or we can find more trouble along the way.

Fusion is always 40-50 years away, going back to the first experiments in the 1950s.

It's hard to take such estimates seriously.

Fusion is mostly a certain amount of research dollars away. Funding has been steadily declining.[1]

[1] http://imgur.com/sjH5r

the biggest obstacle to LFTR is money and support.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xIDytUCRtTA

fusion's is money and scientific discovery.