|
|
|
|
|
by InclinedPlane
3374 days ago
|
|
It's pretty common for people to make a hard problem out to be much more difficult than it actually is if they have a track record of failing to tackle it. The reality is that the problem is not that terribly difficult, all things considered. That's not to diminish SpaceX's achievement, what they've done is genius. But their genius is primarily in avoiding falling into the common trap of optimizing an expendable rocket to the detriment of any hope of easy and beneficial reuse of part of it. And indeed the most logical optimizations of expendable rockets tend to push the design in precisely that direction, so it takes a considerable amount of sticktoitiveness to avoid that pitfall. Additionally, they figured out how to do reusable R&D very effectively and cheaply (by using commercial launches to subsidize most of the costs). Together this has led them to success, but any space-faring nation or organization with a few billion dollars sitting around could have achieved the same thing, they just didn't have the courage or foresight to do so. Indeed, Blue Origin will probably follow along and reproduce the same achievement in orbital rocketry within the next 5 or 10 years or so. And I expect others to follow as well, once a model that can be easily copied has become established and its advantages proven. |
|
And, well, as long as no cheaper competitor comes along it doesn't matter if launch prices are high since whoever needs to launch something just has to pay them.