[TheOtherHobbes]

No, because you're failing to distinguish between game-changer tech - transistors, DNA sequencing, operating systems, powered flight, all as classes of original and unexpected inventions - and refinement tech, which is made of game-changer inventions made smaller, cheaper, and more widely avaialable.

Game changer tech changes what can be imagined. Refinement tech changes what can be bought by consumers.

There's been plenty of refinement over the last few decades, but not nearly as much original game changer invention as in the previous decades.

[ExactoKnight]

Exactly. Peter Thiel's book Zero to One is actually named after this.

Refinement is taking existing tech and moving it up (e.g. 10 to 30).

Thiel argues real game changer tech emerges when it brings us from 0 to 1. From nothing to something huge.