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by benjiwengy
3388 days ago
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No. Landlords will not just raise their rents. They are already charging the maximum the market will bear. However the result of LVT would increase the disposable incomes of those that rent, from which they will apportion some of on purchasing more/better location, the rest of more goods and services. Rents will rise for this reason, and so will the amount an LVT can collect. But this isn't an infinite spiral. There will reach an equilibrium, as there is now, where renters apportion are certain % of their income on valuable locations. Which is collected by the landlord and taxed away by the LVT. The LVT would not make landlords build denser housing, they have exactly the same incentive anyway. It would how ever reduced vacancy and under occupation among owner occupiers, and would increase the average size of dwellings, even if that meant they were more densely clustered by building upwards. |
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The day after the BI-increase, the housing supply and demand will be exactly the same, but renters will have a greater capacity to pay. The maximum amount that the market will bear will have risen exactly by the extent of the increase. It is hopelessly optimistic to think that landlords won't increase rents to claim almost all of it.
Until zoning laws permit greater density/supply (building upwards is great but often prohibited by local laws), the situation won't change, and a tax linked to rent will just cause an inflationary spiral.
I won't even go into the difficulties of separating land value from building value, since it's clear that objective land value isn't intended to be a factor in setting the tax level.