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by jlj
3397 days ago
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What possibilities are opened up when 215Pb/Gram with good I/O and price is reality? With computing power increasing 1 order of magnitude around every 5 years (Moore's law), this might be reality by 2027. An antecedental story is computer graphics, it only took 20 years for to go from idea to reality. Learned a lot listening to a talk at work by Alvy Ray Smith a couple years back. The true poineers are building now not for what is possible now but for what will be possible tomorrow. This article gives some context https://www.forbes.com/asap/2001/0528/052.html This is another interesting perspective on time scale of orders of magnitude of computing power
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Computer_performance_by_orde... |
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The data storage is almost totally irrelevant. When you improve DNA synthesis by 3-4 orders of magnitude, you make it dirt-cheap to synthesize whole custom genomes, hyper-optimized for anything you wish. (Currently, the state of the art is synthesizing an E coli genome takes multiple years and a large international collaboration.) CRISPR only lets you do a few edits at a time at most, in some parts of the genome; imagine being able to do tens of thousands of edits as easily as 1 edit. At that point, you're hardly even 'editing', you're designing organisms as a whole. The Church lab has some astounding proposals for things you can do when you are able to synthesize a whole genome, like cleaning out all the retrovirals, movable elements, recoding the genome for total viral immunity, on top of the obvious stuff like eliminating all mutation load or increasing specific traits by dozens or hundreds of standard deviations. The mind boggles.