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by Jweb_Guru
3402 days ago
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The linked article admits that the two-year doubling ended, which is what Moore's Law has been for most of its history. Moore's Law ending doesn't mean we won't ever have another die shrink, it means that the notion that we just have to wait two years to get twice the transistors for the same cost (or die area, depending on who you ask) is no longer true (and therefore, projections based on the notion of such a cadence should be considered even more silly than they already were). I don't understand why people continue to claim that Moore's Law's death "has been predicted many times" or whatever when it already ended; what happened in 2005 was that raw clock cycles stopped improving, and guess what: they still haven't improved that much for twelve years. |
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