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by Retric
3406 days ago
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In that specific case yes, because there was no dice roll it was just a comic. In a wider context that single data point is evidence that the detector was tripped or was not tripped. But, unlike a Bayesian the frequentest does not say they then know the actual probability involved and they don't update their priors. Because, to do it correctly you need to pick a P value and a model before doing the test. Significant: https://xkcd.com/882/ makes a similar mistake by assuming a frequentist would accept that study design before running the tests. Multiple tests require more evidence, though when multiple groups are involved and not all publish you do get this problem. |
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