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by digitalneal 3405 days ago
Wonder how much of this can be tied to the economy getting better and more people buying/driving (used and less safe) cars when they previously couldn't afford to.
6 comments

You could also argue the opposite - more of the driving population can now afford safer cars.

If had to guess, I would attribute the rise to mobile devices distracting drivers - hence all the campaigns to stop texting+driving.

Moving 12-Month Total Vehicle Miles Traveled

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M12MTVUSM227NFWA

That's pretty convincing to me -- more miles driven means more driving deaths. Also, it's not clear to me whether the statistic on motor vehicle deaths includes collateral damage: cyclists and pedestrians killed by vehicles. Either way, yikes, cars kill lots of people.
That does seem to correlate, since ~2013.
What about sharply falling gasoline prices? https://energy.gov/eere/vehicles/fact-915-march-7-2016-avera...
Also, how much ridership do Zipcar and Uber take away from public transportation since they mostly operate in cities? Uber goes further in that it creates additional driver-miles while drivers are getting to or waiting for passengers.
Reading http://www.nsc.org/NewsDocuments/2017/12-month-estimates.pdf, half the increase is due to an increase in vehicle miles travelled, which went up because the USA is coming out of a recession.
The last recession in the US ended officially ended in 2009. I know the recovery has arguably been sluggish and uneven, but it doesn't seem like the slow & steadily rising GDP over an eight year span should explain much of this shorter-term jump in vehicular deaths.
Gas prices also went down.