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by dang 3412 days ago
This comment crosses into personal attack, which is not allowed on HN regardless of how wrong someone is. Please don't post like this.
1 comments

My apologies. You're totally right, dang. Thanks for keeping this site civil and all the other work done for HN.
Just wanted to add that Dave's notion is not quite as absurd as you make it out to be.

As you might know, daily rebalancing leveraged ETFs (say, 2x or 3x) are basically a bad idea for long-term investments, because they are (simplistically) short vol. So, they might outperform the (non-leveraged) index/ETF if vol is low and total return over the period is high. But typically, with normal or high vol, or over long periods, they underperform non-leveraged.

By analogy, a less-than fully invested ETF/trading strategy that's basically "0.7x" leveraged will beat the (non-leveraged) index/ETF in certain trading regimes (where total return over a period is negative or modestly positive, while vol relatively high).