[primelens]

I'll repost what I wrote on a previous discussion of this article on FB:

Most versions of this discussion lament the fact that students come into graduate programs with little idea of what the academic job market is like. One could respond - and many do - that it's a "free market," no one is forcing them to choose this profession over any other. However, this rational-actor reasoning can only be expected to work if effective channels were set up to inform students before they've sunk in too much time, and cost (both in terms of money and lost opportunities). Do such channels exist? While I agree that the responsibility largely lies with faculty, there are few incentives in the system for them to lower the number of PhDs. And any system that depends on the uprightness, or clarity of vision of individuals (even liberal humanities professors) is bound to be leaky at best.

While this essay puts some numbers to the problem - approximately 1 job for every 4 PhDs per year, for example - I think this is one domain where more data and analysis could serve as a wake-up call. Those 1 in 4 odds, I'm sure, are far from evenly distributed. They are heavily skewed towards a handful of elite institutions. Go to school elsewhere and the odds stack up much higher. Consider the applicants who graduated in previous years but have remained in the market and the odds are even more daunting, and made worse during job shortfalls like that after the '08 downturn.

If informing graduate students of the magnitude of the challenge they are taking on is the best approach to the problem, then the profession needs to do better than trust this to individuals and institutions who have no incentive to scare away a large portion of their students. Does a dataset exist that makes this information accessible? I'd expect some resistance from departments to share detailed information, but the MLA should have enough information from their member surveys. When grad students send in their first $23 check to the MLA, perhaps they should receive a dossier with employment data for the last 10 years and a few choice graphs to scare the living daylights out of them!