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by caminante 3409 days ago
Man, I lost it at "A 30x return is easy - rare, but easy."

Re: story, I've casually followed his story. I'm also very dubious of the allegations against him and claims about his performance.

1 comments

I agree with your second point. As to my wording on your first point, I should explain a bit more....

"Easy" means that it's not technically hard to do. For instance, anyone who's lucky enough can win 30 times their money in roulette. It's "easy", but rare - only 2-3% of people do it.

For contrast, "hard" to me would be something like trading gamma-delta option spreads.

Technically, just about any investor do the former (although they'd have to be lucky), while few can do the latter.

Final point - I consider being lucky consistently is damn near impossible (although statistically, I guess it happens to a few of the 8 billion people out there).