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by WmyEE0UsWAwC2i 3424 days ago
I think the parent's argument could rewriten as:

The numbers induce a probability distribution in the adjacent tiles. But you also should take into account that the remaining mines are uniformily distributed.

In other words, consider the prior.

I couldn't write math neither in favor nor against this claim.

1. Maybe for uniformly distributed mines the numbers have all the information you need.

or

2. Maybe using the fact the the mines are uniformily distributed, in addition to the numbers, has impact on the probabilities distributions EDIT:

you play a 10x10 game with 20 mines.

your initial move in a non-border tile reveals a `1`.

you now know that around that `1` there is a 1/8=0.125 chance of hitting a mine.

ITOH there is a 19/91 = 0.20879 chance to find a mine in a tile not adjacent to the `1`