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I don't know what the criterion is for not leaving a package, but it typically seems that UPS or FedEx will leave a package whereas USPS will not. Even for trivial, cheap packages like a roll of posters, USPS will leave a dreaded pink slip requiring me to visit the post office. While I have had that happen with UPS, those incidents are few and far in between. For me leaving the package is often the difference between getting it or not.

I will say, I usually work from home if I'm expecting something important and that UPS often does not seem to knock or if they do they've hired the world's quietest knockers. Perhaps they think I'm not home since I have a concealed driveway and just don't bother, but it definitely seems their high expectations do have some drawbacks.