[himlion]

I assume he is talking about net birth rate.

[mfsamuel]

He is not, and that is the primary flaw in this analysis.

Estimates that the recent declines in birth rate will continue until 0 annual births, once the birth rate stops the death rate continues at pace, and kills everyone eventually.

Flawed in many ways, but that is the biggest mistake. A good example would be the temperature has dropped 20 degrees in the last month at this rate we will reach absolute 0 in around 2 years.

[hughes]

How would any reasonable person think that all humans will completely stop having children?

It makes about as much sense to me to continue the trend below zero, and assume that eventually people start consuming children.

[merkleee]

Hey, it worked for interest rates.

[hughes]

Zero or negative interest rates can still spur economic growth, unlike birth rates.