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Whenever I comments like this I like to ask what they think the chances of losing the popular vote by 2.8 million (or whatever it ended up as) and winning the electoral vote actually are?

Maybe she did have a 99% chance of winning? I don't think so - but I haven't actually worked it out. I'd be interested to see the conditional probabilities.

538 put Trumps chances at ~20%, which seemed about right overall.