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by ycapplication 3457 days ago
I don't think it's extreme and I think many people favor such a system on a categorical basis.

How do you know when all creative value has been unveiled and it's time for convergence? I would argue that the very nature of creativity makes this perhaps impossible to answer and best attempts to do so in the categories that you mentioned would be at best local maxima.

If I'm understanding the main issue you've raised, it's that utility would be higher from the productivity gains under a single agreed upon platform than exists today due to productivity limitations from fragmentation. There may be an equilibrium point, and I'm not convinced the market isn't fairly decent at finding it. Look at how difficult it's been for other vendors to enter the smartphone market and how quickly developers were willing to abandon Blackberry to decrease their development costs. I wouldn't be surprised if economic forces favor unification and that many hope for ecosystem diversity at the cost of lost utility/productivity for long term benefit. Thiel certainly argues the former in his recent book.

1 comments

You are correct. The market will decide these things. What's missing today is an architecture that allows seamless/automatic branching and merging. When you must manually consider whether it's time to branch or merge, you've already lost.

Funny you mention Peter Thiel. I decided to post this just after listening to a podcast featuring Peter Thiel. I agree with him regarding competition.