[asafira]

This is a little unfair, it's not clear to me why academics would always have worse predications than any other body of people. This especially goes for the presidential outcomes predictions.

[azinman2]

Especially when most predictions were for her.

Also, if that summary is true, that meant 1% likelihood for Trump. Not zero. That's how stats work.

[paulddraper]

> it's not clear to me why academics would always have worse predications than any other body of people

You're right; it's a problem with predictions _generally_.

It's just that academics make predictions that carry more credibility.