[VikingCoder]

First, we should all probably ignore YouGov, as it has fairly low credibility.

Second, it's alarming to watch people on YCombinator not acknowledge that almost always, the best way to hack a system is social engineering.

And if you combine actual hacking of people at the top of a political party, with social engineering, it's really not a stretch to call that "election hacking."

Sure, it's a little bit sensationalist, but when the DHS and FBI themselves refer to "malicious cyber activity" "by the Russian civilian and military intelligence services to compromise and exploit networks and endpoints associated with the U.S. election", it's really not a bad short summary.

[zigzigzag]

Why does YouGov have low credibility? My sense is the opposite: they were the only polling company to get accurate results in important recent votes.

[VikingCoder]

You think the rest of the poll has high credibility?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/rampage/wp/2016/12/28/am...

52% of Trump voters believe Obama was born in Kenya?

9% of Trump voters believe Russia tampered with vote tallies in order to get Trump elected?

31% of Trump voters think vaccines cause autism?

That's a radical shift from the 6% of Americans who thought so according to a Gallup survey:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/03/06/gallup-poll-vaccine...

[tzs]

> 31% of Trump voters think vaccines cause autism?

> That's a radical shift from the 6% of Americans who thought so according to a Gallup survey

The Gallup poll was filing people into three categories on that question (yes/no/uncertain). The YouGov survey filed them into four categories (definitely yes/probably yes/probably no/definitely no). If we assume that the two "probably" categories in the latter correspond to the "uncertain" category in the former, the results of the two surveys are fairly close.

[matt4077]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/