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by achompas 3468 days ago
The key with autocorrelated models is to benchmark them against a naive alternative. I really appreciate Jakob's point that the LSTM might simply be modeling one step ahead using the current data point and Gaussian noise. Such a candid assessment is important in applied work.

I suspect that, similar to other time series applications, you'll find some interesting signals from exogenous effects. I wonder how LSTMs can incorporate this exogenous information for time series analysis.