[misiti3780]

Fitting I'm currently re-reading "Thinking Fast and Slow" and there is a chapter on expertise:

From the book:

When do judgments reflect true expertise?

An environment that is sufficiently regular to be predictable an opportunity to learn these regularities through prolonged practice. (aka not economics)

When both these conditions are satisfied, intuitions are likely to be skilled.

Intuition cannot be trusted in the absence of stable regularities in the environment.

If the environment is sufficiently regular and if the judge has had a chance to learn its regularities, the associative machinery will recognize situations and generate quick and accurate predictions and decisions. You can trust someone’s intuitions if these conditions are met.

When evaluating expert intuition you should always consider whether there was an adequate opportunity to learn the cues, even in a regular environment.