Well, it depends on how much more computing power a hypothetical nation-state has at its reserve compared to the rest of the world. I wish I could find the paper analyzing the possibilities of attacking with less than 51% power, 33% IIRC but in lieu of that, check this out:
And Quantitative Analysis of the Full Bitcoin
Transaction Graph https://eprint.iacr.org/2012/584.pdf which analyzes how lots of Bitcoin accounts are seemingly controlled by the same group (so they are closer to a 51% attack than would otherwise appear).