[glhaynes]

Agreed that it's a red herring from a pure technology standpoint: they both expose hover events, for better or for worse.

And I agree that a large portion of things like navigation elements and the like will work fine because of the way mobile Flash Player passes those events on touch devices to apps. But I think nearly all of us agree that nav elements shouldn't be done in Flash. They work best and it makes the most sense to use built-in browser technologies for them.

So, other than video (the recent trend there seems strongly to be toward HTML5 <video>), that leaves mostly Flash games.

Many existing Flash games will work with a touch interface enough to get to an intro screen, and perhaps even into the game itself. But it seems like a good majority will be unplayable, and doubly frustrating because you can see the game running, but not actually control it.