[TheOtherHobbes]

We're reaching the flat part at the top of the sigmoid innovation curve. We're still using 1960s technology. It's just been through a good few generations of refinement.

VR might just about squeeze through now, but given the hardware limitations - and the fact that people look really dorky using it - I'm not expecting it to drive a new explosion of user interest.

We really need some completely new tech to drive a new wave of innovation. The obvious candidates are optical/quantum and perhaps direct neural interfacing. Both are still science fiction, but that may change by 2030.

More extreme technologies may also be possible, but they're beyond speculative.

For now it may be useful to remember that technology rarely develops linearly, so speculating about future CPUs is like speculating about the future of transatlantic cruise liners, while ignoring the fact that someone somewhere is working on heavier than air flight.

[majewsky]

> perhaps direct neural interfacing

I would really like to be excited by the prospect of neural interfacing, but all I can imagine is people catching computer viruses.

[colechristensen]

Watch the "Ghost in the Shell: Stand Alone Complex" series for an excellent science fiction exploration of this