[lotharbot]

I just want to emphasize something you hinted at: "expected return" usually involves an additional discounting factor which relates to risk and risk tolerance. An investment with a fixed return of 5% (a predictable $76 equivalent in a year) is very different from an investment with an expected return of 5% but a standard deviation of +-10% (anywhere from about $68 to $84). A lot of investors would treat that as worth a little bit less, because if it happens to go down, that is felt more keenly than if it goes up.