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by bubbleRefuge 3500 days ago
Don't forget HuffPo's models giving HRC an 90% chance a few days before.
2 comments

That could have been completely correct... and the card was drawn for one of those 10%. To test that probability empirically, we'd have to have the election at least a couple dozen times, right?
Simultaneously and independently, with exact copies of all registered voters.
Yeah, HuffPo is just one of the leeches feeding of actual journalism. I really enjoyed the little fight they got themselves into the day before the election – their failure is/was to consider the errors in state polls to be independent.