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by wool_gather 3503 days ago
That's not cause to suspect the analysis. Yes, the sampled population may not be congruent with the nationwide population. There's a reason for that: these are exit polls at the primaries. Only those who showed up to vote in those primaries can be polled.

The article links to its source data: http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/republican/v...

The VA results there, for example, also show that the majority of respondents for both Republican and Democratic primaries are over the median state (and national) _age_.

1 comments

Right, that was my point - primary voters are not representative of general election voters, and so conclusions about general election voters should not be drawn from primary voter data.
Okay, fair enough, I didn't quite realize that's what you were arguing against.

I need to hunt down the demographic info for the general exit polling; this is one of the big questions on my mind.

Sorry, I probably wasn't expressing clearly. Yeah, that'd be interesting, haven't seen anything about that yet.