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by galdosdi
3505 days ago
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Fair point. Counterpoint: If you commute by private car, how often can you expect to get into a wreck? I know plenty of people who are terrified of driving in the same way some posters here are terrified of urban crime. It all comes down to what environments you're used to. If you're used to driving down a freeway, you'll routinize and minimize the risk of being in a collision. If you're used to city life, you'll routinize and minimize the risk of being mugged. Also, once again, transit does not have to mean high crime. You're describing crappy transit systems. So let's improve those. |
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Given the numbers from the previous post, you should get into 0.02 crashes per decade.
You are about 2.5x more likely to die per mile driven on a city vs highway (http://freakonomics.com/2010/01/29/the-irony-of-road-fear/). Assuming the same ratio for crashes, you'd expect to get into 0.05 crashes per decade.
As a rough estimate, you'd expect to be a victim of a crime on the SF Muni about 40x more often than being in a car crash.