[tgb]

His example isn't Simpson's paradox. I don't think you can have an analogue of Simpson's paradox in this case (if every subgroup votes more for Ronald Clump than Tirllary Swinton, then Ronald Clump wins, period). You could have something like: women are more likely to vote for Trillary Swinton in both districts than men are, but overall women still vote for Ronald Clump more than men do. That would need one distrit overall voting for Ronald Clump and also having lots of women in it, while the other district votes mostly for Trillary Swinton but has mostly men. For example.