Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by lordnacho 3514 days ago
This kind of argument only makes sense if there's a reason to think the people who didn't vote would be significantly different to the people who did.

For instance you say only 37.5% of them voted to leave. That means you'd have to find fewer than 12.5% of the 27.8% who'd agree with them, basically 45% of the non-voters.

So you need some sort of explanation of why a selection of the population, which is a lot of people, came out 52-48, while the non-voters would have come out 45-55.

Without such an explanation, you'd have to think the law of large numbers would suggest that people who didn't vote were pretty much the same as the ones who did.