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by komodo
3521 days ago
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online shopping is a big one, self-serve kiosks, AI tier-one help desk, personal assistant technology built into every phone, fast food industry is actively developing automated replacements for line cooks, robo-investing, online learning courses, nearly the entirety of the transportation jobs. |
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It would be interesting to see how many people are employed in various jobs and see what proportion are likely to be unnecessary in the near future; e.g. line cooks in fast food may be unnecessary (though I haven't seen anything to indicate that we're even close to that yet), but how many jobs does that represent? Are most line cooks employed at fast food chains, or are they employed at non-chain restaurants? And has that not happened to a large degree already with prep happening at central locations for many chains?
Same goes for self-serve kiosks; McDonalds has already started using them, but they're clearly not going to take over at any restaurant that has a waiter.
Maybe the lower prices enabled by automation will drive non-automated competitors out of the market such that restaurants with waiters will simply go out of business and be replaced by efficient chains, but that sort of goes against the human desire for variety. But maybe it will siphon off enough people that many restaurants that are barely scraping buy have to close.
I guess we'll see how things progress, but I feel like our current ability to do NLP & fine robotic movement is still too limited to displace a lot of humans. That and people's preference for interacting with other humans.