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by abhi_kr
3538 days ago
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Except, coins are not humans with emotions, and neither can they dupe probability to improve their outcome. The 50 heads(success) that you left are not going to do any better than the 50 tails you scolded. You are just changing the sample space in a biased fashion to prove your point. |
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While, of course, human performance is not always equal in the same way our coins are, the fact that performance (or whatever it is you are measuring) will still regress towards the mean still holds true. The coin example just gives an extremely obvious demonstration about what is happening when things regress towards the mean.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regression_toward_the_mean