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by b_emery 3539 days ago
> The only way to long run sustainability is central control of population with mandatory birth limits

This is demonstrably not true. Look at Japan and western Europe: declining population. Its a function of economic situation (no need for more than 1-3 children) and female reproductive choice. If we give that to the world, the population problem goes away. The mathematics of population dynamics work for animals, roughly, but the assumptions don't hold for humans because of the changes in behavior.

1 comments

There are people, even in Japan, that want a whole mess of children. That preference is heritable. Each generation has more of these people because they're the ones that reproduce.

Eventually those fertile and natal enthusiasts will dominate the population and exponential growth resumes. The current situation is a temporary response to an external shock, specifically to reliable contraception. But Malthusian conditions will return; Darwinism requires it.

Statistics suggest your view of Darwinism is incorrect.

http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0884238.html shows avg household size has been declining since before contraception, and it doesn't look like contraception changed the slope.

I respectfully disagree. Your assumption about the preference being heritable is questionable.
Couldn't it not be a gene but a meme that is inherited, instead?

> Each generation has more of these people because they're the ones that reproduce.

I.e. each generation has more of these people since people who see having children as something positive reproduce and teach these values to their children.

Being a memetic instead of genetic factor would have the advantage that it is easier to "unprogram" it, i.e. by having rules/incentives in the society that discourage reproduction or by education.