[qj4714]

I am far from an expert on Colombia but there are many reasons to be skeptical of this peace deal, and the failure of the yes vote is a sign that many people did not support it for reasons related to immunity deals for guerrillas and political representation as well. The peace deal is full of unfunded promises that the GOC lacks the capacity to fulfill. For example, my understanding is that the GOC has agreed to add police forces to the 40 percent of the land that they do not control, but they lack trained officers and funds to pay them. Land reform has been at a standstill, this is a very significant issue that has not been resolved. Lastly, coca production is at an all time high in Colombia. This is after years of reductions under Plan Colombia. Coca fuels the FARC and corruption in Colombia. The perception is that the GOC was going to target development aid under the peace agreement towards areas of high coca development, they cut off aerial spraying and the result is massive increases in coca. I don't see any way you can have peace in Colombia without addressing the coca issue.