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by bduerst 3553 days ago
>That shows their estimates were terrible.

Pokemon Go became the most-downloaded app in history within the first few days.

Are you saying that's the bar that people should estimate at launch?

1 comments

It shows that they were over their worst estimate total volume in one day. Were they really expecting less than a few million user-days in total?
From the article, it seems like a few million users/day is a typical expectation, but record-breaking isn't.

>Throughout my career as an engineer, I’ve had a hand in numerous product launches that grew to millions of users. User adoption typically happens gradually over several months, with new features and architectural changes scheduled over relatively long periods of time.