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by karma_vaccum123 3573 days ago
This will impact every other aspect of our consumption economy...home sales and even car sales will be impacted as working adults have to dedicate more and more earning potential to paying off student loans...far in excess of any real economic value these degrees have provided.

I hate to get all "Zero Hedge", but this really does stink of some conspiracy to turn the middle class into lifelong renters instead of owners. The independence the middle class once had by achieving a debt-free existence and owning their own residence is being wiped out, and as a result, the middle class itself will effectively be destroyed.

2 comments

It doesn't need a conspiracy - macroeconomic forces and demographics are more than enough. On a societal and generational scale, it's basically impossible to make things now and have them be valuable in the future. Roads crumble, machines break down, inventions become obsolete, and in general what you did thirty years ago is of no particular value today. The one small exception to this is deciding to pump oil out of the ground later instead of today.

So if saving real goods and services doesn't work, what does? You can make things now, and sell them to people for dollars or some equivalent promise of future goods and services. Then you can later redeem these for the stuff you need later.

Oh, and did I mention the generational stuff? Small family sizes and aging Baby Boomers means that there's huge pressure to turn today's resources into promises to give people stuff later. Hence, debt.

I'd actually prefer if a conspiracy was responsible for this. Economic forces make a lot more people work a lot harder to push back against changes. Price controls are a great case in point for this.

Home ownership is a bubble created first by VA and then FHA subsidized financing.

Mortgages were sort of unusual - housing was simpler then and people just paid cash. Sears sold home kits - of 12,000 pieces they said could be finished in 90 days by the owner - and while they offered financing, they topped out @ 60K in 2016 dollars. I don't think the financing was a "mortgage" per say, closer to consumer credit. People pay $60k for cars on four and five year notes.