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by rgoddard
3585 days ago
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Being risk-adverse with retirement spending is perfectly rational. Most people will have to take into minimum expense amounts. Pursuing a strategy which will have the more likely outcome of not being able to pay your minimum expenses would not make sense for many people. Comparing only the expected values without including the volatility is an incomplete comparison. The critique is aimed at the assumption that your risk aversion is scale invariant. i.e. you behave the same when the values are in the 10s of dollars, or the 10,000s of dollars. I might be perfectly fine with taking the coin flip when the outcomes are either $10 or $15, but if the outcomes are $10,000 or $15,000 I might rather take a lower guaranteed amount of $12,000 because that will meet my expenses but the $10,000 won't. |
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IMO best way to look at γ is an arbitrary tunable smoothing parameter, just tune it until it looks like what you're most comfortable with, trading off smoothness for maximizing cash flow.