[mr_overalls]

Let's say that you're forecasting budget requirements for a police department in a city whose demographics are changing.

Research indicates that in the United States, the correlation between violent crime rates and percentages of US state populations that are Black and Hispanic is 0.81. Controlling for poverty, education, and unemployment only reduces this to 0.78. [1]

Wouldn't this unusually high correlation be useful in making your budgeting decision?

[1] http://www.colorofcrime.com/colorofcrime2005.html

[js8]

No. Forecast based on the crime rate trend would be more precise than using race as a proxy.