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by adrianm 3607 days ago
You don't need a source for common sense. It will take years for self driving cars to become reliable. There are many adverse conditions the car will need to be able to deal with in the real world. Weather and all other chaotic systems are not to be dismissed casually if we want self driving cars to become a reality in our lifetime. Just because something will take a long time to reliably engineer doesn't mean it's not a worthy problem to solve.
1 comments

I guess it depends on what you mean by "reliable". If you mean it won't crash more than a human, then we can pretty much do that under certain conditions. If you mean it will accept a trip 24/7 no matter the weather or road, it will take a while.
Do you have a source for this? Everything I can find is not apples-to-apples - they compare the reliability of a self-driving car under extremely careful and limited conditions, specifically by people who are developing, testing or evaluating the car... To the reliability of cars driving in snow, rain, glare, and operated by people with limited cognitive abilities and reflexes.

I don't think that's a fair comparison at all.

No, I was just going by what ma2rten said. But I think it is a fair comparison in the context of "show we allow this?". People drive in the rain at night without anyone considering banning it, so if we can make good-weather autonomous cars safer than that then it's good enough to start.