[graycat]

For the project for real, actual moonshots, we knew in quite good terms right at the beginning that the project was doable. Same for the Manhattan project. Same for GPS. Same for the SR-71.

So, right, there is a methodology. Get very far from that methodology and tend to get failed projects.

Sure, on some par 3 hole, there are a lot of hole in one shots, and only a small fraction are made by expert golfers with the rest from luck. Still, if picking someone to make a hole in one, pick an expert!

Sure, with luck, might get another successful mobile, social, local, sharing app, but luck is not very reliable!