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by vegabook
3624 days ago
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actually "gambling", aka "speculation", is the crucial ingredient in the building of credibility of any tradable financial contract. It increases liquidity, and contrary to popular belief, it usually dampens volatility like a shock absorber. This is because non-speculative supply and demand tends to be much less normally distributed (herd behaviour) than speculative transaction direction, leading to large price spikes (see: bitcoin and Cyprus). I welcome with open arms the "gamblers" because they provide the "other side", in return for a skewed future price distribution towards profit, when such "one way" stampedes occur. |
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With cryptocurrencies, however, there isn't enough "legitimate activity" (i.e. people actually conducting business with Bitcoin) to allow a stable price to emerge. This makes them vulnerable to manipulation because there is no function for the form to follow. At least with regular currencies, speculation has to follow reality. With cryptocurrencies, reality follows speculation!
This leads to a negative feedback loop; people are reluctant to use cryptocurrencies for business because the price is unstable, and the price is unstable because not enough people are using them for business.