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by te
3642 days ago
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Interestingly, the authors do acknowledge on p. 46 that their sample size is too small to obtain a statistically significant result: A rough estimate how large the CauseEffectPairs benchmark should have been in
order to obtain significant results can easily be made. Using a standard (conservative) Bon-
ferroni correction, taking into account that we compared 37 methods, we would need about
120 (weighted) pairs for an accuracy of 65% to be considered significant (with two-sided
testing and 5% significance threshold). This is about four times as much as the current
number of 37 (weighted) pairs in the CauseEffectPairs benchmark. Therefore, we sug-
gest that at this point, the highest priority regarding future work should be to obtain more
validation data, rather than developing additional methods or optimizing computation time
of existing methods. We hope that our publication of the CauseEffectPairs benchmark
data inspires researchers to collaborate on this important task and we invite everybody to
contribute pairs to the CauseEffectPairs benchmark data. |
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