[rdtsc]

> Unlike the lottery, knowledge and skill play a role here.

True, but that's not quite the analogy I was going for, the analogy was how survivorship bias is used in both cases for promoting the idea-- everyone picks the winners and remembers / tells / markets those while disregardign the losers. I do it too, it is just a natural human tendency.

In both cases, if every time someone heard about a successful startup they also heard about many failed ones, they might have a different perspective.